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Bai Zhongen: Under special circumstances, short-term breakthrough in deficit and debt may help solve long-term problems. Bai Zhongen, president of Tsinghua University Institute of Economics and Management and vice chairman of the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce, said that in the understanding and implementation of policies, there are sometimes some stereotypes, which make us bound by these stereotypes. Breaking these constraints is very important for our policy understanding and policy implementation. The first mindset is that it will bring moral hazard if the central government helps local governments pay their debts. The second mindset, in the past, some people insisted that the deficit should not exceed a certain proportion and the debt should not exceed a certain proportion. He bluntly said that the upper limit of debt and deficit also depends on short-term and long-term. In the long run, we can't have too many deficits and too many debts. Therefore, when we encounter special circumstances in the short term, we should allow the deficit and debt to exceed a certain ratio.Institution: It is expected that the PC market in China will resume growth in the second half of 2025. IDC, an international data company, issued a document saying that the overall PC market in China is expected to improve in 2025, and the shipment volume will drop slightly by 0.2% compared with that in 2024. Among them, the first half of 2025 will be affected by the early release of demand at the end of 2024, and the expected shipment volume is still negative, down 4.2% year-on-year; In the second half of 2025, it will improve as a whole, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.0%.Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.

The EUR/USD of the euro against the US dollar hit a new low since November 26th, and is now reported at 1.0463.State Power Investment Corporation set up an economic and technological research and consulting company with AI software development business. According to the enterprise search APP, recently, State Power Investment Corporation Economic and Technological Research and Consulting Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of He Yongjian and the registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: artificial intelligence application software development; Information system integration service; Industrial Internet data service; Social and economic consulting services, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by State Power Investment Group Co., Ltd.Wofei Sky Global Headquarters Base started in Chengdu. On December 12th, Wofei Sky Global Headquarters Base officially started in Chengdu High-tech Zone Future Science and Technology City. The first phase of the project started this time covers an area of about 30 mu, with a planned construction area of 26,700 square meters. It will build a production chain including composite material production, component assembly, painting, machine assembly, flight test, etc., which is mainly used for mass production of Wofei Changkong self-developed AE200 products.

The transformation bull of China stock market is taking shape. The intraday volatility of A50ETF Huabao (159596) meets the layout window. On December 13th, the market fluctuated and adjusted in early trading. By midday, A50ETF Huabao (159596) fell by 2.13%, with a turnover of 69.36 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, the top ten awkward stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, Yangtze Power rose; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. Guotai Junan believes that the positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.*ST Hetai set up a new company including integrated circuit sales business. According to the enterprise survey APP, recently, Yizhixin Technology Co., Ltd. in Fuzhou High-tech Zone was established. The legal representative is Haining, and its business scope includes: sales of special equipment for semiconductor devices; Integrated circuit sales; Internet of things technology research and development; Internet of things application services, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is indirectly wholly-owned by *ST Hetai.Indian Rupee rebounded slightly against the US dollar to 84.8350.